The United States is preparing for a sharp decline in international tourism this summer, with travel industry analysts predicting a massive $12.5 billion loss in revenue. The downturn comes as millions of foreign tourists choose to skip their summer vacations in America, citing a mix of high costs, visa delays, safety concerns, and global travel shifts.
This unexpected economic hit could ripple across hotels, restaurants, airlines, and countless small businesses that depend on foreign visitors during peak travel months.
According to the U.S. Travel Association, international visitors are spending significantly less time and money in the country compared to pre-pandemic levels. Experts believe the U.S. will welcome fewer than 60 million international tourists in 2025, well below the 79 million peak in 2019.
Source: U.S. Travel Association – Research
Geoff Freeman, President and CEO of the U.S. Travel Association, stated,
“America is missing out on billions in spending. International visitors are not coming at the pace we need. The longer we delay improvements in the travel experience, the more we fall behind.”
Several factors are contributing to this downturn:
Major U.S. cities and attractions that once thrived on foreign spending are now feeling the pinch:
Additionally, luxury retailers and high-end restaurants in these cities are reporting lower foot traffic and declining sales, especially from high-spending foreign tourists.
For many small businesses, international travelers are vital. Foreign visitors often stay longer and spend more per day compared to domestic tourists. A report by the National Travel and Tourism Office (NTTO) highlights that overseas visitors typically spend $4,200 per trip, while domestic tourists average around $900.
This spending fuels:
When these dollars vanish, it hits hardest in local economies that are still recovering from the pandemic downturn.
Tourism leaders and business groups are urging Washington to address this growing crisis. Some of their recommendations include:
Without immediate action, experts warn the U.S. could lose long-term market share in the global tourism industry.
While international tourism is dropping, domestic travel remains relatively healthy. Americans are still traveling across the country, boosting hotel occupancy in national parks, coastal regions, and entertainment hubs.
However, domestic tourists typically spend less than international ones, making it harder to compensate for the global drop-off.
For example, in 2024, international travelers made up just 15% of total visitors, but they accounted for nearly 40% of all spending in tourist-focused cities.
If this trend continues, it may reshape how U.S. tourism operates in the future. Hotels and entertainment providers may reduce staff, cut services, or even close down some operations.
According to a survey by the American Hotel & Lodging Association, 31% of hotels in major cities are planning to scale back staffing this summer due to lower international bookings.
Source: AHLA – Hotel Business Survey
There are some signs of potential recovery. China recently lifted several outbound travel restrictions, and some visa processing improvements are in progress. If policy improvements are implemented quickly, the U.S. could still attract more travelers later in 2025.
Meanwhile, some travel startups and regional tourism boards are getting creative—offering curated cultural experiences, virtual pre-trip planning, and targeted promotions in countries like India, Germany, and South Korea.
The summer of 2025 may feel colder than usual for America’s tourism industry. With $12.5 billion at stake, foreign tourists’ absence could spell serious trouble for one of the nation’s key economic drivers. The solution, according to experts, lies in streamlined policies, international marketing, and creating a safer, more welcoming experience for visitors from around the globe.
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