As the Democratic Party grapples with internal struggles and plummeting public trust, one thing is becoming increasingly clear: the Democrats 2028 presidential primary has already begun—quietly, unofficially, and full of uncertainty. With President Joe Biden stepping away from the political spotlight and Vice President Kamala Harris facing lukewarm support, party insiders and potential contenders are already maneuvering behind the scenes.
The race is wide open, and the stakes couldn’t be higher.
Poll after poll suggests the Democratic brand is struggling with voters across the board—young people, independents, and even some traditional loyalists. Discontent has been fueled by:
According to recent Gallup and Pew Research Center findings, trust in the Democratic Party has hit one of its lowest points in decades. Many voters feel the party is either too focused on ideology or simply ineffective at governing.
With this backdrop, several rising and returning political stars are quietly preparing for a 2028 run, even if no one has made an official announcement yet.
As Vice President, Kamala Harris would typically be seen as the natural successor. But that isn’t the case in 2028.
While Harris has gained some support among key Democratic groups, she continues to face:
Party insiders are torn—some believe she deserves the first shot at the nomination, while others fear she would lose to a strong Republican opponent in the general election.
In private donor circles and political strategy meetings, the phrase “open primary” is coming up more often than “Harris 2028.”
California Governor Gavin Newsom has spent the last two years raising his national profile. From battling red-state governors like Ron DeSantis in public debates to campaigning across the country for Democratic candidates, Newsom appears to be positioning himself as the next great liberal leader.
Strengths:
Weaknesses:
Still, many believe Newsom is preparing for a full-scale presidential run—even if he claims otherwise for now.
Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer has emerged as a favorite among centrists. Known for her strong response to COVID-19 and efforts to protect abortion rights in a swing state, she’s gaining traction among key demographics.
Why she stands out:
If Harris stumbles, Whitmer could easily step in as the “unity candidate” many Democrats are seeking.
Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg hasn’t ruled out another run either. After his 2020 campaign won praise for its message and ground game, many expected him to try again in 2024. Though he ultimately stayed loyal to the Biden-Harris ticket, Buttigieg remains a favorite in progressive and LGBTQ+ circles.
However, critics argue his stint in the Biden Cabinet lacked clear achievements. Still, he continues to maintain an active media presence and a loyal donor base.
Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker, a self-funding billionaire and staunch liberal, has been making quiet moves as well. He’s given speeches in key primary states and expanded his political network far beyond Illinois.
Though his name lacks national recognition, Pritzker’s financial resources and liberal credentials could make him a surprise contender in a crowded primary.
The progressive wing of the party is still searching for its next national leader. With Bernie Sanders likely stepping aside for good, attention turns to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) and others like Ro Khanna or Ayanna Pressley.
AOC, while popular among younger Democrats, may face an uphill battle due to her age (she just meets the minimum requirement of 35 in 2028) and polarizing reputation.
However, progressives remain influential and could tip the scales in a divided primary.
Every election cycle brings a new round of Michelle Obama for President rumors—and 2028 is no different.
Despite repeated denials and zero political ambition on record, Democratic strategists and voters continue to fantasize about a unifying, high-profile figure like her entering the race.
But barring a complete breakdown in the primary process, this remains highly unlikely.
Multiple top donors, strategists, and operatives are quietly expressing concern about the lack of a clear frontrunner. A messy and divisive primary could weaken the eventual nominee, especially if the party’s brand continues to suffer.
Meanwhile, Republicans appear more unified, with potential successors like Ron DeSantis, Glenn Youngkin, and J.D. Vance already building strong conservative bases.
Without a focused message and a candidate who can unite the fractured Democratic coalition, the party risks falling further behind in 2028.
A recent focus group conducted by Third Way, a centrist think tank, found that voters want:
If the Democratic primary focuses on internal purity tests rather than public needs, the 2028 race may be lost before it even begins.
Even though the primary is unofficial, several states will shape the narrative early:
Candidates are already using social media platforms like X (formerly Twitter), TikTok, and Instagram to test messaging and connect with younger voters.
Expect this primary to play out online as much as it does in debates and town halls.
Look out for:
This new form of shadow campaigning allows candidates to build support long before filing official papers.
The Democrats 2028 presidential primary may not be official yet, but it’s already shaping the future of the party. With the brand damaged and voters frustrated, Democrats are entering this race from a position of weakness.
Still, the right candidate—one with real solutions, broad appeal, and strong leadership skills—could emerge to turn the tide. But that person will have to first survive a primary full of rivals, risks, and rhetoric.
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